Brian Dake

Federal Reserve Cut Benchmark Interest Rate by 0.5%

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday enacted its first interest rate cut since the early days of the Covid pandemic, slicing half a percentage point off benchmark rates in an effort to head off a slowdown in the labor market.

With both the jobs picture and inflation softening, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee chose to lower its key overnight borrowing rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, affirming market expectations that had recently shifted from an outlook for a cut half that size. The decision lowers the federal funds rate to a range between 4.75%-5%.

In addition to this reduction, the committee indicated through its “dot plot” the equivalent of 50 more basis points of cuts by the end of the year, close to market pricing. The matrix of individual officials’ expectations pointed to another full percentage point in cuts by the end of 2025 and a half point in 2026. In all, the dot plot shows the benchmark rate coming down about 2 percentage points beyond Wednesday’s move.

“The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent, and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance,” the post-meeting statement said.

Wisconsin Receives Average Marks on Latest Infrastructure Report Card

report card from a group of civil engineers graded Wisconsin’s infrastructure with a C+ in an assessment that covers 17 categories, including parks, roads and energy.

The American Society of Civil Engineers issues the report card every four years as a way to give residents and policymakers a picture of where a state stands when it comes to transportation, water systems, waste management and other infrastructure. This year, Wisconsin became the first state to have broadband evaluated as part of the report.

The report card is intended to identify infrastructure areas with critical needs and to keep things running smoothly where the state is already doing well. The report authors offered three key recommendations for raising the state’s grade in 2028:

  • Increase overall investment in infrastructure;
  • Ensure that infrastructure is safe, reliable and resilient;
  • Monitor access and improve data collection.

 

Retail Sales Rise 0.1% in August

U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in August as a decline in receipts at auto dealerships was more than offset by strength in online purchases, suggesting that the economy remained on solid footing through much of the third quarter.

Retail sales increased 0.1% last month after an upwardly revised 1.1% surge in July, the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau said.

Retail sales increased 2.1% on a year-on-year basis in August. Online store sales rebounded 1.4% last month after falling 0.4% in July. Sales at gasoline stations dropped 1.2%, reflecting lower prices at the pump. Cheaper gasoline is likely freeing money for other spending. Sales at sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument and book stores increased 0.3%. Building material and garden equipment store sales edged up 0.1%. But sales at food services and drinking places, the only services component in the report, were unchanged after rising 0.2% in July.

Furniture store sales fell 0.7%. Receipts at electronics and appliance outlets dropped 1.1%, while those at clothing retailers decreased 0.7%. Receipts at motor vehicle and parts dealers dipped 0.1%.

Governor’s Council on Workforce Investment Launches Data Dashboard

On Friday, the Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development announced that the Governor’s Council on Workforce Investment (CWI) has launched a new CWI Dashboard, an online data tool to measure the success of the state’s workforce programs that support workers and employers.

The dashboard will serve as an information resource for council members, workforce system partners, employers, and the public by providing a way to track the progress of the actions items within the 2022 – 2026 CWI Strategic Plan. The dashboard also provides another public resource as DWD continues its dedication to transparency and public accountability.

“We are making continuous investments in building our workforce, and measuring the results of our efforts is critical to our long-term success,” Department of Workforce Development Secretary Amy Pechacek said. “The dashboard will strengthen the collaboration between DWD and its partners as we prepare Wisconsinites for good jobs and support employers’ economic growth.”

CWI is Wisconsin’s federally required workforce board, and it works closely with DWD to craft a comprehensive workforce development strategy. The dashboard incorporates many aspects of the CWI Strategic Plan, including the plan’s four focus areas: Education, Employers, Workforce, and System Alignment. Each focus area includes action items and key workforce system benchmarks. The dashboard also includes data to monitor the state workforce system’s performance and outcome requirements under the Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA).

Federal Appeals Court Upholds DOL Minimum Salary Requirement for FLSA White-Collar Exemptions

On September 11, 2024, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit upheld the U.S. Department of Labor’s (DOL) authority to use a salary basis to define its white-collar overtime exemptions.

The Fifth Circuit, in Mayfield v. U.S. Department of Labor, held that a 2019 DOL rule, which sought to raise the minimum salary requirement for the so-called white collar or executive, administrative, or professional (EAP) employee exemptions to the Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA), “fell within the [DOL’s] explicitly delegated authority to define and delimit the terms of the Exemption.”

The ruling is a significant win for the DOL as it defends its new April 2024 rule to further increase the minimum salary requirement for the EAP exemptions in similar legal challenges by business groups. The groups argue that the DOL rule exceeds the agency’s statutory authority because under the new rule, employees’ EAP status turns on their salary, not their job duties.

Minimum Salary Requirement

The 2019 DOL rule raised the required minimum weekly salary to qualify for the EAP exemptions by more than 50 percent, from $455 to $684 per week. Robert Mayfield, who owns thirteen fast-food restaurants in Austin, Texas, challenged the rule, arguing that the DOL has always lacked authority to set a minimum salary level for the EAP exemptions.

However, a Fifth Circuit panel disagreed. The panel found that a minimum salary requirement is “consistent with DOL’s statutorily conferred authority,” both as a defining “what it means to work in an [EAP] capacity” and as delimiting the scope of the EAP exemption.

The panel further sided with the DOL in noting that the inclusion of the word “executive” in the FLSA as part of the exemption connotes a “status of level for which salary may be a reasonable proxy,” hence it is frequently referred to as the “white collar exemption.”

“Distinctions based on salary level are also consistent with the FLSA’s broader structure, which sets out a series of salary protections for workers that common sense indicates are unnecessary for highly paid employees,” the panel stated in its decision.

Agency Deference

The Fifth Circuit panel further addressed the Supreme Court’s June 2024 decision in Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, which held that courts must exercise independent judgment in deciding whether an agency acted within its statutory authority. The Fifth Circuit examined whether the DOL should be afforded so-called Skidmore deference, which allows a court to determine the appropriate level of deference based on the agency’s support of its action.

“We need not address that issue here because DOL’s interpretation of the statute is ‘best’ based on traditional tools of statutory interpretation and without reliance on deference of any kind,” the panel stated.

To the extent that Skidmore deference is in force, the panel said it applies to the 2019 DOL overtime rule: “The DOL has consistently issued minimum salary rules for over eighty years. Though the specific dollar value required has varied, DOL’s position that it has the authority to promulgate such a rule has been consistent. Furthermore, it began doing so immediately after the FLSA was passed.”

2024 DOL Rule

The Fifth Circuit ruling in Mayfield comes after a federal judge in the Eastern District of Texas granted a preliminary injunction blocking the 2024 DOL overtime rule as it applied to the State of Texas as an employer. The judge found that challengers were likely to succeed in showing that the minimum salary requirement exceeded the DOL’s authority, relying on the Loper Bright decision. That case, and another case challenging the rule in the Western District Texas, are currently in the midst of summary judgment briefing that will address the ongoing viability of the rule on the merits.

The 2024 DOL rule raised the minimum weekly salary to qualify for the EAP exemption from $684 per week to $844 per week, or the equivalent salary of $43,888 per year, on July 1, 2024. The rule then called for the minimum salary to increase to $1,128 per week, the equivalent of a $58,656 annual salary, on January 1, 2025. Under the rule, that threshold would increase every three years based on up-to-date wage data.

Key Takeaways

The Fifth Circuit ruling in Mayfield backs the DOL in its attempts to set minimum salary requirements for its white-collar overtime exemptions despite the FLSA not explicitly calling for the DOL to set such a requirement. The minimum salary increases pushed by the DOL pose significant compliance challenges for employers in setting employee compensation structures. In total, the 2024 rule is expected to make four million employees previously eligible for the exemption no longer eligible and, therefore, entitled to overtime compensation under the FLSA.

Consumer Inflation rises 2.5% in August

The Labor Department on Wednesday said that the consumer price index (CPI) – a broad measure of how much everyday goods like gasoline, groceries and rent cost – rose 0.2% in August from the prior month

Prices climbed 2.5% in August from the same time last year, down from 2.9% in July. That’s the lowest level since February 2021.

So-called core prices, which exclude more volatile measurements of gasoline and food to better assess price growth trends, rose 0.3% in August from the prior month. The gauge was up 3.2% from a year ago, and unchanged from last month.

Overall, the report indicates that inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy are continuing to ease, though prices remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

The softer-than-expected inflation reading comes as Federal Reserve policymakers are set to hold a highly anticipated meeting in which they are likely to cut interest rates amid signs that the economy is cooling. After the central bank kept interest rates at a 23-year-high range of 5.25% to 5.5% in July, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled in an August speech at the Jackson Hole conference that the “time has come” to cut interest rates.

Trend Toward Electric Utility Rate Increases in Regulated Markets Continues in 2024

Utility regulators in the United States are considering increases to electricity rates again this year as electric utilities seek to cover the investments needed to maintain and expand their systems. Utilities requested rate increases in recent years to pay for improvements to transmission and distribution lines to withstand increasingly serious weather and fire events, prepare for increased electrification as state and federal clean energy legislation is implemented, and move more energy reliably, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence Capital IQ Pro.

State utility regulators signed off on $9.7 billion in net rate increases in 2023, more than double the $4.4 billion authorized in 2022. The net increase—increases minus decreases—reflects $10.3 billion in authorized rate increases and only $0.6 billion in rate decreases. More than one-third of the net rate increase supported increases at two California utilities seeking to make their grids less susceptible to wildfire.

From the start of 2023 through August 12, 2024, regulators nationwide have authorized 58% of the net rate increases that were requested by electric utilities, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence Capital IQ Pro. If the same ratio of rate increase requests is allowed for the rest of 2024, rate increases are on track to reach $8.9 billion (adjusted for inflation to 2023 dollars) this year.

In many states, all components of a typical electric bill are approved by the state utility regulator. In states that allow competition for electricity supply, energy suppliers charge competitive rates for the generation component of power bills. All charges for energy delivery over transmission and distribution lines are still regulated by state utility commissions.

When regulated investor-owned utilities (IOUs) expect their future revenues needed to operate their systems will exceed expected revenue from consumers under existing rates, they request a rate case in front of the state regulator to justify raising their rates. IOUs are generally reimbursed on allowed operating and maintenance costs and investments and on a regulator-approved rate of return on their investment as profit. Other utilities, such as cooperatives and government-owned municipal, state, political utility district, and federal utilities, are non-profit and may not be regulated in the same way.

DNR Releases Final Environmental Impact Statement on Line 5 Pipeline Project

State environmental regulators released a final environmental impact statement Friday on a Canadian energy firm’s plans to reroute an oil and gas pipeline around a northern Wisconsin tribe’s reservation.

In 2019, the Bad River Band of Lake Superior Chippewa sued Canadian firm Enbridge in federal court to shut down and remove the 70-year-old Line 5 on tribal lands. In response, the company proposed a $450 million plan rerouting the pipeline around the tribe’s reservation.

Line 5 runs 645 miles from Superior to Sarnia, Ontario. It’s designed to carry up to 540,000 barrels of oil and natural gas liquids daily.

In the proposed reroute, a new stretch of 30-inch pipe would run 41 miles around the reservation in Ashland and Iron counties. State and federal regulators say the project would cross 186 waterways and temporarily disturb 101 acres of wetlands.

The 898-page document released Friday relied on 10,000 pages of materials that reflects hours of testimony and more than 32,000 comments submitted to the agency, according to Greg Pils, director of the DNR Bureau of Environmental Analysis and Sustainability.

“This is a critical step in making a permitting decision,” Pils said. “The (environmental impact statement) does not compel a decision, but it is there to inform our decision-making.”

Enbridge has applied for multiple permits with the agency. Pils said the agency doesn’t have a timeline for issuing decisions on whether to approve or deny those applications.

In a statement, Enbridge spokesperson Juli Kellner said the document’s release is an important step in the permitting process for the project.

“The project has been designed to avoid and minimize temporary construction impacts, and we believe the planned route is the best alternative,” Kellner wrote. “The Wisconsin DNR has thoroughly evaluated the environmental impacts of the proposed project.”

Wisconsin Total Property Tax Levies See Biggest Increase Since 2007

Gross property tax levies approved in 2023 by local taxing jurisdictions in Wisconsin increased by4.6% statewide, which exceeded inflation and was the largest increase since 2007.

Meanwhile, equalized property values increased 7.7% in 2024 – a slowdown from the record pace of the two prior years, but still a large increase by recent standards.

Annual growth in property values once again exceeded the growth in property tax levies, causing the statewide gross property tax rate to decline for the tenth consecutive year. It went from $16.78 per $1,000 of equalized property value in 2022 to $15.53 in 2023, a 7.5% decline.

These are among the key statewide findings from the Wisconsin Policy Forum’s newly updated 2024 Property Values and Taxes DataTool, which features interactive data for all of Wisconsin’s 72 counties and nearly 1,850 cities, villages, and towns. It is the latest in a series of Forum interactive tools meant to provide all Wisconsinites with relevant facts about their schools, local governments, and state and regional economy. Key findings from the tool are

 The state’s 7.7% increase in total equalized property values in 2024 was significantly lower than the growth seen in 2022 (13.8%) and 2023 (13.1%). Still, with the exception of those two years, the 2024 increase was the highest since 2006. In the period between 2007 and 2021, statewide annual property value increases never exceeded 6.8%.

 Residential property values for the state of Wisconsin grew 8.7% in 2024, which was significantly lower than the state’s increases in 2022 (14.9%) and 2023 (14.0%) but still the third-largest rise since 2006. Meanwhile, after near-record growth of 13.2% (2022) and 10.9% (2023), statewide commercial property values increased by 10.1% in 2024.

 The 4.6% increase in statewide gross property tax levies – which appears on December 2023 tax bills, and provides revenue for 2024 local budgets — was nearly double the previous year’s increase. It also surpassed the 2023 inflation rate of 4.1%. This follows two years in which inflation substantially outstripped statewide levy increases.

U.S. Manufacturing Mired in Weakness; Construction Spending Falls

U.S. manufacturing contracted at a moderate pace in August amid some improvement in employment, but a further decline in new orders and rise in inventory suggested factory activity could remain subdued for a while.

The survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Tuesday also showed manufacturers continuing to pay higher prices for inputs last month. The ISM said its manufacturing PMI rose to 47.2 last month from 46.8 in July, which was the lowest reading since November. A PMI reading below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, which accounts for 10.3% of the economy.

The PMI remained below the 50 threshold for the fifth straight month, but was above the 42.5 level that the ISM said over time indicates an expansion of the overall economy.

Five manufacturing industries, including primary metals, furniture and computer and electronic products, reported growth last month. Machinery, textile mills, transportation equipment as well as electrical equipment, appliances and components were among the 12 industries reporting contraction.

The ISM survey’s forward-looking new orders sub-index fell to 44.6 last month from 47.4 in July.

Output declined further, with the production sub-index slipping to 44.8, the lowest level since May 2020, from 45.9 in July. The ISM said the low level of production execution was “putting additional pressure on profitability.”

Despite weak demand, manufacturers faced higher prices for inputs, likely reflecting soaring freight rates.

The survey’s measure of prices paid by manufacturers increased to 54.0 from 52.9 in July a sign that raw materials prices increased for the eighth straight month, reversing eight consecutive months of decreases.

That suggests goods deflation has probably run its course for now, but will probably not have a material impact on inflation, which is slowing. Goods prices were unchanged in July after falling for two straight months.

The measure of supplier deliveries fell to 50.5 from 52.6 in the prior month. A reading above 50 indicates slower deliveries.

Factory employment contracted, though the pace slowed. The survey’s manufacturing employment measure rose to 46.0 from 43.4 in July. Companies continued to reduce head counts through layoffs, attrition and hiring freezes, the ISM said.