Brian Dake

Net Lending Shows Ongoing Increases at State-Chartered Banks

Net loans grew by 8.8% at Wisconsin’s state-chartered banks in the nine months ending eptember 30, 2018, according to data released by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

“The steady growth in lending activity is terrific news for the state’s banking industry and for the Wisconsin economy,” said Jay Risch, Secretary of the Department of Financial Institutions (DFI), who oversees state-chartered banks.

Compared to the first three quarters of 2017, Wisconsin’s 158 state-chartered banks:

• Increased net loans to $41.6 billion, up from $38 billion.
• Posted a net income of $486.1 million, an increase of 15.9% from $419.4 million.
• Grew total assets by 7.6%, from $50.9 billion to $55.6 billion.
• Maintained a strong capital ratio of 11.47%, compared to 11.75%.

The continued increase in lending combined with a higher net interest margin were the most significant factors in the strong growth in net income. Total interest income increased by 15.3% for the first nine months of 2018 compared to 2017.

Through the first nine months of 2018, 97% of all state-chartered banks were profitable and nearly 77% realized earnings gains compared to the prior year

Direct Primary Care Arrangements Offer New Way to Pay for Routine Health Care

When it comes to paying for health care, most people pay for and use insurance. But some are dropping their coverage or deciding to use it only for big medical expenses as deductibles and copays rise.

An analysis from JP Morgan Chase & Co. shows Wisconsinites pay more in out-of-pocket costs than those in other states.

“That is resulting in people not seeking the primary care they need because they can’t afford to pay those copays and deductibles. So what we want (is) to create more options,” said Rep. Joe Sanfelippo, R-New Berlin.

The Republican lawmaker intends to reintroduce a bill next session to legally define an arrangement where consumers pay a monthly fee to their family doctor for unlimited routine care.

If successful, it’s a health care model that could shake up the market.

“There is a direct fee for service need that’s spreading across Wisconsin fairly quickly. Nationally, it’s a movement that’s unstoppable,” said Dr. Tim Murray, CEO of Solstice Health, which has clinics in New Berlin and Oconomowoc. Solstice Health does not accept insurance and only takes patients who pay directly for routine medical care and basic lab services.

But insurance companies have concerns about people contracting with a doctor for primary care services. The consumer protections aren’t the same, and insurers argue it doesn’t make financial sense for those who have coverage.

“For many individuals the math just isn’t going to work. If you purchase both a direct primary care arrangement and a comprehensive insurance plan, you’re going to be paying twice for a broad swatch of services,” said Tim Lundquist, director of government and public affairs for the Wisconsin Association of Health Plans.

Still, supporters consider it a way provide more access to preventive care at lower costs.

“This is actually very timely just coming off an election where health care played such a prevalent role in everybody’s campaign from the governor’s race right on down to the seats for Assembly,” Sanfelippo said about his bill, which didn’t pass last session.

The effect of direct primary care on medical costs and patient health aren’t certain because there aren’t a lot of studies on such health care arrangements.

In addition to defining what direct primary care is, Sanfelippo proposes the state create a pilot program to use direct primary care for some Medicaid recipients and integrate it into the state employee health plan.

Governor-elect Evers to Propose to Dissolve WEDC

Gov.-elect Tony Evers said Tuesday that after taking office he will propose to dissolve Gov. Scott Walker’s public-private jobs agency, the Wisconsin Economic Development Corp.

“I think it’s important that economic development be part of state government rather than a public-private partnership,” Evers said.

An Evers spokeswoman declined to address specifics of when and how he will propose to eliminate WEDC. Evers spoke during the campaign about moving economic development functions back to the Department of Commerce, which handled them before the creation of WEDC.

WEDC spokesman Mark Maley declined to comment Tuesday on Evers’ remarks.

Rep. John Nygren, R-Marinette, co-chairman of the Legislature’s budget-writing Joint Finance Committee, posted on Twitter that Evers’ position is “concerning.”

“The public-private partnership WEDC has fostered is crucial,” Nygren wrote. “Reverting back to the ways of the failed Department of Commerce is a recipe for over-burdensome government regulation. This will not only stifle the (Wisconsin) comeback but could end it.”

Wisconsin to See Additional $2.1 Billion in Tax Revenue

The Co-Chairs of the budget-writing Joint Committee on Finance Representative John Nygren (R-Marinette) and Senator Alberta Darling (R-River Hills) released the following statement after revenue projections show Wisconsin has an additional $2.1 billion in revenue:

“This is the best revenue estimate since 2002. We delivered $8 billion in tax cuts and the largest real-dollar increase for public education in state history, and today’s estimate shows we are headed in the right direction.

Governor Walker is leaving Wisconsin in much better fiscal shape than what he inherited. Thanks to our reforms, tax cuts, and common sense budgeting, our state is expected to generate an additional $2.1 billion.

There is no deficit. In fact, Wisconsin is projected to end the current budget with a $662 million surplus. Agency budget requests are just that – requests.

Wisconsin is on the right track and this report proves it. With the amount of money coming into the state, we can continue to fund priorities like education, continue to cut taxes, and balance the budget.”

Wisconsin Home Sales Cool as Inventory Remains Tight

Frustrated buyers, fewer homes and rising prices has been the trend throughout the year in Wisconsin’s housing market. In the fourth quarter, there is no sign the inventory shortages that have caused sales to wane will subside.

Throughout the first 10 months of the year, home sales were down 2.2 percent compared to the same period last year. The median prices were up 6.4 percent to $184,000, according to the Wisconsin Relators Association.

“Inventories remain very tight statewide and it’s still a strong seller’s market in most regions of the state,” Jean Stefaniak, chairman of the WRA Board, said in a written statement.

The state had 4.5 months of supply in October, which is down from 5.2 months in October 2017. It is considered a “balanced” market when there is six months worth of supply. Where there are too few homes for buyers to choose from, which has been the case since last year, it is considered a seller’s market.

David Clark, an economics professor at Marquette University, said one of the reasons fewer homes are on the market is because of baby boomers who did not move 10 years ago, during the Great Recession. Those boomers continue to stay put now as older millennials are looking for homes, Clark said.

“Are those aging baby boomers now going to stay stay in their homes forever? Well not forever, but they may well have decided they will stay put until health situations mandate some type of a change,” Clark said.

Total Household Debt Rises for 17th Straight Quarter

On Friday, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit, which shows that total household debt increased by $219 billion (1.6%) to $13.51 trillion in the third quarter of 2018. It was the 17th consecutive quarter with an increase and the total is now $837 billion higher than the previous peak of $12.68 trillion in the third quarter of 2008.

The Report is based on data from the New York Fed’s Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample of individual- and household-level debt and credit records drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data.  Overarching trends from the Report’s summary include:

Housing Debt

  • Mortgage originations increased to $445 billion from $437 billion in the second quarter.
  • Mortgage delinquencies were roughly flat, with 1.1% of mortgage balances 90 or more days delinquent in the third quarter.

Non-Housing Debt

  • Outstanding student loan debt increased by $37 billion and stood at $1.44 trillion as of September 30.
  • Auto loan balances increased by $27 billion to $1.27 trillion in 2018Q3.
  • Credit card balances rose by $15 billion to $844 billion.

Delinquencies, Collection Accounts, and Credit Inquiries

  • Mortgage delinquency transition rates increased slightly with about 1.2% of current balances transitioning into delinquency.
  • The number of credit inquiries within the past six months—an indicator of consumer credit demand—increased slightly, but remains among the lowest seen in the history of the data.

Wisconsin Unemployment Rate Remains at or Below 3% for Record 9th Straight Month

The Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development (DWD) today released the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revisions for September and preliminary estimates for October covering employment and job statistics for the state. The data showed that Wisconsin’s unemployment rate remained at 3 percent in October, marking the 9th straight month that Wisconsin unemployment rate was at or below 3 percent, a state record.

Wisconsin also added a statistically significant 32,000 private-sector jobs from October 2017 to October 2018. The state also added a significant 20,000 manufacturing jobs over the same time period.

“Wisconsin’s employment situation continues to create more and more opportunities for Wisconsin workers, and with roughly 100,000 available jobs on the state’s JobCenterofWisconsin.com website, DWD stands ready to help anyone who is still looking for work, find not only work, but a rewarding career,” DWD Secretary Ray Allen said. “With an unemployment rate of 3 percent, the 9th straight month the state’s unemployment rate has remained at or below the 3 percent threshold, there is no better time to be a job seeker in Wisconsin.”

U.S. State Spending Exceeds $2 Trillion in Fiscal 2018

U.S. state spending topped $2 trillion for the first time in fiscal 2018, with Medicaid expenditures rising the most along with a significant increase in transportation spending, according to a report released on Thursday.

Total expenditures grew an estimated 4.8 percent compared to 3.8 percent in fiscal 2017, the National Association of State Budget Officers’ (NASBO) annual state expenditure report said. The annual report focuses on the seven top state spending categories, which are elementary and secondary education, higher education, public assistance, Medicaid, corrections, transportation and “all other.”

Each category saw some growth in fiscal 2018, with public assistance rising the least at 0.7 percent and Medicaid, the state and federal healthcare program for the poor, growing the most at 7.3 percent.

Growth in state spending of federal funds outpaced spending of state-generated revenue, including from general funds, the report found.

Medicaid continued to account for the bulk of federal dollars flowing to states. The program made up 29.7 percent of total state expenditures in fiscal 2018, compared to 20.5 percent a decade earlier.

Elementary and secondary education expenditures, which rose 4.6 percent, remained the largest area of state general fund spending.

The report also highlighted a 6.5 percent increase in transportation spending, which represents 8 percent of total state expenditures. The rise indicates a growing focus on infrastructure.

JFC to Take Up Kimberly-Clark Incentive Bill

A state bill that would give tens of millions of dollars in incentives to Kimberly-Clark Corp. to keep its Cold Spring facility open will take a step forward Wednesday, but still faces obstacles.

Lawmakers will hold another public hearing on the legislation on Wednesday.

Sen. Roger Roth (R-Appleton), a co-sponsor of the bill, admits that the legislation faces a bumpy road to get to the floor later this month for a vote.

“I know how tough it is to get any piece of legislation passed. It’s always an uphill battle on you name the issue. But tomorrow will be telling,” he said Tuesday afternoon.

Roth will speak at the hearing, as will Rep. Mike Rohrkaste (R-Neenah) and union, company and WEDC officials.

Rohrkaste is a co-author of the bill and a member of the Joint Finance Committee. If he were an oddsmaker, he said he’d give the bill a 50-50 chance at passage.

“I get the arguments on both sides, but it’s a way to keep good-paying jobs in the area. If people don’t vote for this, they’re being short-sighted. It’s going to negatively impact 500 families in the Fox Cities,” Rohrkaste said.

The legislation, as written, sought to give tax breaks to K-C if it kept two Fox Cities plants open and retained 610 jobs.

K-C indicated it was willing to consider incentives for the Cold Spring plant in Fox Crossing, but told Fitzgerald that it will still close its Neenah Nonwovens facility and cut its 110 jobs. Both plants had been put on the chopping block in January as part of the company’s global restructuring plan to close or sell 10 plants and eliminate up to 5,500 jobs.

Governor-elect Tony Evers Announces Transition Team

Democratic Gov.-elect Tony Evers has tapped his first key staffers to oversee his transition into the governor’s office.

JoAnne Anton, who has worked in various roles for former Democratic U.S. Sen. Herb Kohl, will lead Evers’ transition team, the Evers campaign announced Monday.

Maggie Gau, who managed Evers’ campaign for governor, will be his chief of staff.

Exact Sciences CEO Kevin Conroy is one of the five other members of Evers’ transition team, according to a news release.

The rest are:

  • Chuck Pruitt, co-managing director of ABD Direct, a Milwaukee fundraising-services firm, and former president of the Board of Regents.
  • Amy Traynor, an Eau Claire middle school teacher and 2013 Wisconsin Middle School Teacher of the Year.
  • Jan Allman, Marinette Marine CEO.
  • Veronica Gunn, CEO of Genesis Health Consulting.

Also Monday, Evers made his first official communication with state lawmakers: a request to the Legislature’s budget-writing committee for funds for his transition team. Evers requested $94,600 to fund his transition, according to the request.

Evers also made clear Monday that he plans to continue serving as state superintendent of public instruction until he’s sworn in as governor, at which point he would step down as superintendent. The Evers campaign did not immediately respond to an inquiry about how a successor would be named.